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February 2019 articles

Stock markets wax and wane. The period of time in which they move from a state of expansion (bull market) to one of contraction [...]

13 February

Last month I was invited to present at a conference in Berlin; I spent a couple of days preparing and got up at 4am to fly over. [...]

11 February

2018 was a challenging year for investors with US equity and government bond markets both returning less than cash. Two factors [...]

8 February

The yield curve has been a reliable predictor of US recessions over the last four decades. Each time the yield curve has inverted, [...]

6 February

Concern over the outlook for US interest rates was one of the dominant themes of 2018, especially as the year progressed. President [...]

5 February